Someone hands you a box of 19 chocolate-covered candies, telling you that 11 are vanilla creams and the rest are peanut butter. You pick candies at random and discover the first 4 you eat are all vanilla creams. What is the probability that the next candy you eat will also be a vanilla cream?
1) 1/19
2) 11/19
3) 4/19
4) 15/19