40% of OatyPop cereal boxes contain a prize. Hanna plans to keep buying cereal until she gets a prize. What is the probability that Hannah only has to buy 3 or less boxes before getting a prize? Use the simulation to find the probability

Respuesta :

Solution:

Amount of Oatypop that contains the prize = 40%

Amount  of Oatypop which doesn't contain the prize = (100-40)=60%

Probability that hannah will win a prize

    = S +F S +F F S+FF  F S+FF F F S+.....till infinity.where F= Failure,S= Success

= [tex]\frac{40}{100}+\frac{40\times 60}{10000}+\frac{60 \times 60 \times40}{1000000}+.....{\text{infinity}}\\\\ \frac{40}{100}\times[\frac{\frac{60}{100}}{1-\frac{60}{100}}]\\\\ =\frac{60}{100}=0.6[/tex] or 60%

Probability that Hannah only has to buy 3 or less boxes before getting a prize= (S) and ( F S) and (FF S) and (F F F S)

        = [tex]\frac{40}{100}+\frac{60}{100}\times\frac{40}{100}+\frac{60}{100}\times\frac{60}{100}\times\frac{40}{100}+\frac{60}{100}\times\frac{60}{100}\times\frac{60}{100}\times\frac{40}{100}\\\\=0.4+0.24+0.144+0.864\\\\ =0.8704[/tex]= 87.04 %  

 

Answer: 86%

Hope this helps!!!