Respuesta :
Answer:
a) There is a 1.76% probability that a person selected at random from the general population is senior citizen who will get the flu this season.
b) There is a 20.76% probability that a person selected at random from the general population is a person under age 65 who will get the flu this year.
c - a)
There is a 11.05% probability that a person selected at random from the general population is senior citizen who will get the flu this season.
c - b)
There is a 3.6% probability that a person selected at random from the general population is a person under age 65 who will get the flu this year.
d - a)
There is a 5.85% probability that a person selected at random from the general population is senior citizen who will get the flu this season.
d - b)
There is a 13.2% probability that a person selected at random from the general population is a person under age 65 who will get the flu this year.
Step-by-step explanation:
We have these following percentages:
13.5% of senior citizens
13% of the senior citizens get the flu
100 - 13.5 = 86.5% of people under 65 years old get the flu.
24% of people under 65 year old get the flu.
(a) What is the probability that a person selected at random from the general population is senior citizen who will get the flu this season?
13.5% of the population are senior citizens. Of those, 13% get the flu. So
[tex]P = 0.135(0.13) = 0.0176[/tex]
There is a 1.76% probability that a person selected at random from the general population is senior citizen who will get the flu this season.
(b) What is the probability that a person selected at random from the general population is a person under age 65 who will get the flu this year?
86.5% of the population are under 65 years old. Of those, 24% will get the flu. So:
[tex]P = 0.865(0.24) = 0.2076[/tex]
There is a 20.76% probability that a person selected at random from the general population is a person under age 65 who will get the flu this year.
c) Repeat parts (a) and (b) for a community that has 85% senior citizens.
Now, 85% of the population are senior citizens and 100-85 = 15% are under 65 years old.
a) 13% of the senior citizens get the flu. So:
[tex]P = 0.85(0.13) = 0.1105[/tex]
There is a 11.05% probability that a person selected at random from the general population is senior citizen who will get the flu this season.
b) 24% of non-senior citizens get the flu. So:
[tex]P = 0.15(0.24) = 0.036[/tex]
There is a 3.6% probability that a person selected at random from the general population is a person under age 65 who will get the flu this year.
d) Repeat parts (a) and (b) for a community that has 45% senior citizens.
Now, 85% of the population are senior citizens and 100-45 = 55% are under 65 years old.
a) 13% of the senior citizens get the flu. So:
[tex]P = 0.45(0.13) = 0.0585[/tex]
There is a 5.85% probability that a person selected at random from the general population is senior citizen who will get the flu this season.
b) 24% of non-senior citizens get the flu. So:
[tex]P = 0.55(0.24) = 0.132[/tex]
There is a 13.2% probability that a person selected at random from the general population is a person under age 65 who will get the flu this year.