Replacement times for TV sets are normally distributed with a mean of 8.2 years and a standard deviation of 1.1 years (Consumer Reports). Find the probability that a randomly selected TV will have a replacement time less than 5.0 years. If you want to provide a warranty so that only 1% of the TV sets will be replaced before the warranty expires, what is the time length of the warranty?

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Answer:

There is a 0.18% probability that a randomly selected TV will have a replacement time less than 5.0 years.

To provide a warranty so that only 1% of the TV sets will be replaced before the warranty expires, the length of the warranty is 10.76 years.

Step-by-step explanation:

Problems of normally distributed samples can be solved using the z-score formula.

In a set with mean [tex]\mu[/tex] and standard deviation [tex]\sigma[/tex], the zscore of a measure X is given by:

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

The Z-score measures how many standard deviations the measure is from the mean. After finding the Z-score, we look at the z-score table and find the p-value associated with this z-score. This p-value is the probability that the value of the measure is smaller than X, that is, the percentile of X. Subtracting 1 by the pvalue, we get the probability that the value of the measure is greater than X.

In this problem, we have that:

Replacement times for TV sets are normally distributed with a mean of 8.2 years and a standard deviation of 1.1 years. This means that [tex]\mu = 8.2, \sigma = 1.1[/tex].

Find the probability that a randomly selected TV will have a replacement time less than 5.0 years.

This is the pvalue of Z when [tex]X = 5[/tex].

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

[tex]Z = \frac{5 - 8.2}{1.1}[/tex]

[tex]Z = -2.91[/tex]

[tex]Z = -2.91[/tex] has a pvalue of 0.00181

This means that there is a 0.18% probability that a randomly selected TV will have a replacement time less than 5.0 years.

If you want to provide a warranty so that only 1% of the TV sets will be replaced before the warranty expires, what is the time length of the warranty?

This is the value of X when Z has a pvalue of 0.99. This is [tex]Z = 2.33[/tex].

So

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

[tex]2.33 = \frac{X - 8.2}{1.1}[/tex]

[tex]X - 8.2 = 2.33*1.1[/tex]

[tex]X = 10.76[/tex]

To provide a warranty so that only 1% of the TV sets will be replaced before the warranty expires, the length of the warranty is 10.76 years.