In the field of quality​ control, the science of statistics is often used to determine if a process is​ "out of​ control." Suppose the process​ is, indeed, out of control and 15​% of items produced are defective. ​(a) If two items arrive off the process line in​ succession, what is the probability that both are​ defective? ​(b) If three items arrive in​ succession, what is the probability that two are​ defective?

Respuesta :

Answer:

a) P=0.0225

b) P=0.057375

Step-by-step explanation:

From exercise we have that  15​% of items produced are defective, we conclude that  probabiity:

P=15/100

P=0.15

a)  We calculate the probabiity  that two items are​ defective:

P= 0.15 · 0.15

P=0.0225

b)  We calculate the probabiity  that  two  of  three items are​ defective:

P={3}_C_{2} · 0.85 · 0.15 · 0.15

P=\frac{3!}{2!(3-2)!} · 0.019125

P=3 · 0.019125

P=0.057375

Using the binomial distribution, it is found that there is a:

a) 0.0225 = 2.25% probability that both are​ defective.

b) 0.0574 = 5.74% probability that two are​ defective.

For each item, there are only two possible outcomes, either it is defective, or it is not. The probability of an item being defective is independent of any other item, hence, the binomial distribution is used to solve this question.

Binomial probability distribution

[tex]P(X = x) = C_{n,x}.p^{x}.(1-p)^{n-x}[/tex]

[tex]C_{n,x} = \frac{n!}{x!(n-x)!}[/tex]

The parameters are:

  • x is the number of successes.
  • n is the number of trials.
  • p is the probability of a success on a single trial.

In this problem, 15​% of items produced are defective, hence [tex]p = 0.15[/tex].

Item a:

Two items, hence [tex]n = 2[/tex].

The probability is P(X = 2), then:

[tex]P(X = x) = C_{n,x}.p^{x}.(1-p)^{n-x}[/tex]

[tex]P(X = 2) = C_{2,2}.(0.15)^{2}.(0.85)^{0} = 0.0225[/tex]

0.0225 = 2.25% probability that both are​ defective.

Item b:

Three items, hence [tex]n = 3[/tex].

[tex]P(X = x) = C_{n,x}.p^{x}.(1-p)^{n-x}[/tex]

[tex]P(X = 2) = C_{3,2}.(0.15)^{2}.(0.85)^{1} = 0.0574[/tex]

0.0574 = 5.74% probability that two are​ defective.

To learn more about the binomial distribution,  you can take a look at https://brainly.com/question/24863377