According to the 2010 Census, 11.4% of all housing units in the United States were vacant. A county supervisor wonders if her county is different from this proportion. She randomly selects 850 housing units in her county and finds that 129 of the housing units are vacant. Write the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis Do a Test of Hypothesis and write the P-value. Write your conclusion: Construct a 95% cl for the true proportion of vacant houses in the supervisor's county. Does the confidence interval support your conclusion. Explain briefly.

Respuesta :

Answer:

Null hypothesis:[tex]p=0.114[/tex]  

Alternative hypothesis:[tex]p \neq 0.114[/tex]  

[tex]z=\frac{0.152 -0.114}{\sqrt{\frac{0.114(1-0.114)}{850}}}=3.49[/tex]  

Since is a bilateral test the p value would be:  

[tex]p_v =2*P(z>3.49)=0.00049[/tex]  

So the p value obtained was a very low value and using the significance level given [tex]\alpha=0.05[/tex] we have [tex]p_v<\alpha[/tex] so we can conclude that we have enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis.

[tex]0.152 - 1.96 \sqrt{\frac{0.152(1-0.152)}{850}}=0.128[/tex]

[tex]0.152 - 1.96 \sqrt{\frac{0.152(1-0.152)}{850}}=0.176[/tex]

And the 95% confidence interval would be given (0.128;0.176).

And support the conclusion obtained on the hypothesis test since the value of 0.114 is not in the confidence interval, so we have enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis.

Step-by-step explanation:

Data given and notation

n=850 represent the random sample taken

X=129 represent the number of housing units that are vacant.

[tex]\hat p=\frac{129}{850}=0.152[/tex] estimated proportion of housing units that are vacant.

[tex]p_o=0.114[/tex] is the value that we want to test

[tex]\alpha=0.05[/tex] represent the significance level

Confidence=95% or 0.95

z would represent the statistic (variable of interest)

[tex]p_v[/tex] represent the p value (variable of interest)  

Concepts and formulas to use  

We need to conduct a hypothesis in order to test the claim that the proportion is equal is 0.114 or not:  

Null hypothesis:[tex]p=0.114[/tex]  

Alternative hypothesis:[tex]p \neq 0.114[/tex]  

When we conduct a proportion test we need to use the z statistic, and the is given by:  

[tex]z=\frac{\hat p -p_o}{\sqrt{\frac{p_o (1-p_o)}{n}}}[/tex] (1)  

The One-Sample Proportion Test is used to assess whether a population proportion [tex]\hat p[/tex] is significantly different from a hypothesized value [tex]p_o[/tex].

Calculate the statistic  

Since we have all the info requires we can replace in formula (1) like this:  

[tex]z=\frac{0.152 -0.114}{\sqrt{\frac{0.114(1-0.114)}{850}}}=3.49[/tex]  

Statistical decision  

It's important to refresh the p value method or p value approach . "This method is about determining "likely" or "unlikely" by determining the probability assuming the null hypothesis were true of observing a more extreme test statistic in the direction of the alternative hypothesis than the one observed". Or in other words is just a method to have an statistical decision to fail to reject or reject the null hypothesis.  

The significance level assumed is [tex]\alpha=0.05[/tex]. The next step would be calculate the p value for this test.  

Since is a bilateral test the p value would be:  

[tex]p_v =2*P(z>3.49)=0.00049[/tex]  

So the p value obtained was a very low value and using the significance level given [tex]\alpha=0.05[/tex] we have [tex]p_v<\alpha[/tex] so we can conclude that we have enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis.

Confidence interval

The confidence interval would be given by this formula

[tex]\hat p \pm z_{\alpha/2} \sqrt{\frac{\hat p(1-\hat p)}{n}}[/tex]

For the 95% confidence interval the value of [tex]\alpha=1-0.95=0.05[/tex] and [tex]\alpha/2=0.025[/tex], with that value we can find the quantile required for the interval in the normal standard distribution.

[tex]z_{\alpha/2}=1.96[/tex]

And replacing into the confidence interval formula we got:

[tex]0.152 - 1.96 \sqrt{\frac{0.152(1-0.152)}{850}}=0.128[/tex]

[tex]0.152 - 1.96 \sqrt{\frac{0.152(1-0.152)}{850}}=0.176[/tex]

And the 95% confidence interval would be given (0.128;0.176).

And support the conclusion obtained on the hypothesis test since the value of 0.114 is not in the confidence interval, so we have enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis.

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