A contractor purchases a shipment of 99 transistors. The way the business works is that the contractor will randomly select and test 10 of these transistors, and keep the shipment only if at least 9 of the 10 are in working condition. If we know that overall, 20% of the transistors have defects (and thus not in working condition), then what is the probability the contractor will keep all the transistors?

Respuesta :

Answer:

the probability that the contractor keeps the transistors is 37.58%

Step-by-step explanation:

Since each transistor is equally likely to the chosen , then the random variable X= transistors that have defects from a sample of 10 , has a binomial distribution . Thus its probability is calculated through:

P(X=x) = n!/((n-x)!*x!)*p^x*(1-p)^(n-x)

where

n= sample size = 10

p= probability for any transistor to be defective = 0.2 (20%)

x= number of transistors that are defective

P(X=x) = probability that there are x transistors that are defective

thus replacing values and knowing that only 0 or 1 can be defective in order to have at least 9 working transistors:

P(X≤1)= P(X=1)+P(X=0)

this is equivalent to

P(X≤1)= F(X=1)

where F(X) is the cummulative binomial probability distribution. From tables can be found that

P(X≤1)= F(X=1)= 0.3758 (37.58%)

thus the probability that the contractor keeps the transistors is 37.58%

The probability that the contractor keeps the transistors is [tex]37.58[/tex] %

Binomial distribution :

The probability that there are x transistors that are defective is given by,

                    [tex]P(X=x)=^{n}C_{x}p^{x} q^{n-x}[/tex]

where

  • [tex]n[/tex] is sample size
  • [tex]p[/tex] is probability for any transistor to be defective
  • [tex]x[/tex] is  number of transistors that are defective

Given that, [tex]n=10,p=0.2,q=1-0.2=0.8[/tex]

if at least 9 of the 10 are in working condition

the probability the contractor will keep all the transistors is given as,

         [tex]P(x\leq 1)= P(x=1)+P(x=0)\\\\P(x\leq 1)=^{10}C_{1}(0.2)^{1}(0.8)^{9} +^{10}C_{0}(0.2)^{0}(0.8)^{10} \\\\P(x\leq 1)=0.3758[/tex]

Thus, the probability that the contractor keeps the transistors is [tex]37.58[/tex] %

Learn more about the probability here:

https://brainly.com/question/25870256