The number of telephone calls that arrive at a phone exchange is often modeled as a Poisson random variable. Assume that on the average there are 10 calls per hour. (a) What is the probability that there are three or fewer calls in one hour

Respuesta :

Answer: the probability that there are three or fewer calls in one hour is 0.011

Step-by-step explanation:

The formula for poisson distribution is expressed as

P(x = r) = (e^- µ × µ^r)/r!

Where

µ represents the mean of the theoretical distribution.

r represents the number of successes of the event.

From the information given,

µ = 10

For the probability that there are three or fewer calls in one hour, it is expressed as

P(x ≤ 3) = P(x = 0) + P(x = 1) + P(x = 2) + P(x = 3)

Therefore,

P(x = 0) = (e^- 10 × 10^0)/0! = 0.000045

P(x = 1) = (e^- 10 × 10^1)/1! = 0.00045

P(x = 2) = (e^- 10 × 10^2)/2! = 0.0023

P(x = 3) = (e^- 10 × 10^3)/3! = 0.0077

Therefore,

P(x ≤ 3) = 0.000045 + 0.00045 + 0.0023 + 0.0077 = 0.011