In a recent​ year, a hospital had 4386 births. Find the mean number of births per​ day, then use that result and the Poisson distribution to find the probability that in a​ day, there are 14 births. Does it appear likely that on any given​ day, there will be exactly 14 ​births?

Respuesta :

Answer:

9.08% probability that in a​ day, there are 14 births. So it does not appear likely that on any given​ day, there will be exactly 14 ​births.

Step-by-step explanation:

In a Poisson distribution, the probability that X represents the number of successes of a random variable is given by the following formula:

[tex]P(X = x) = \frac{e^{-\mu}*\mu^{x}}{(x)!}[/tex]

In which

x is the number of sucesses

e = 2.71828 is the Euler number

[tex]\mu[/tex] is the mean in the given time interval.

In a recent​ year, a hospital had 4386 births.

An year has 365 days. So [tex]\mu = \frac{4386}{365} = 12.02[/tex]

Find the probability that in a​ day, there are 14 births. Does it appear likely that on any given​ day, there will be exactly 14 ​births?

This is P(X = 14).

[tex]P(X = x) = \frac{e^{-\mu}*\mu^{x}}{(x)!}[/tex]

[tex]P(X = 14) = \frac{e^{-12.02}*(12.02)^{14}}{(14)!} = 0.0908[/tex]

9.08% probability that in a​ day, there are 14 births. So it does not appear likely that on any given​ day, there will be exactly 14 ​births.