a. A statistics practitioner took a random sample of 50 observations from a population with a standard deviation of 25 and computed the sample mean to be 100. Estimate the population mean with 90% confidence.
b. Repeat part (a) using a 95% confidence level.
c. Repeat part (a) using a 99% confidence level.
d. Describe the effect on the confidence interval estimate of increasing the confidence level.

Respuesta :

Answer:

a) [tex]100-1.68\frac{25}{\sqrt{50}}=94.060[/tex]    

[tex]100+1.68\frac{25}{\sqrt{50}}=105.940[/tex]    

So on this case the 90% confidence interval would be given by (94.060;105.940)    

b)  [tex]100-2.01\frac{25}{\sqrt{50}}=92.894[/tex]    

[tex]100+2.01\frac{25}{\sqrt{50}}=107.106[/tex]    

So on this case the 95% confidence interval would be given by (92.894;107.106)    

c) [tex]100-2.68\frac{25}{\sqrt{50}}=90.525[/tex]    

[tex]100+2.68\frac{25}{\sqrt{50}}=109.475[/tex]    

So on this case the 99% confidence interval would be given by (90.525;109.475)    

d) When we increase the confidence level we see that the interval becomes wider and the margin of error given by [tex] ME=  t_{\alpha/2}\frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}[/tex] increase.

Step-by-step explanation:

Previous concepts

A confidence interval is "a range of values that’s likely to include a population value with a certain degree of confidence. It is often expressed a % whereby a population means lies between an upper and lower interval".

The margin of error is the range of values below and above the sample statistic in a confidence interval.

Normal distribution, is a "probability distribution that is symmetric about the mean, showing that data near the mean are more frequent in occurrence than data far from the mean".

[tex]\bar X=100[/tex] represent the sample mean

[tex]\mu[/tex] population mean (variable of interest)

s=25 represent the sample standard deviation

n=50 represent the sample size  

Part a

The confidence interval for the mean is given by the following formula:

[tex]\bar X \pm t_{\alpha/2}\frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}[/tex]   (1)

In order to calculate the critical value [tex]t_{\alpha/2}[/tex] we need to find first the degrees of freedom, given by:

[tex]df=n-1=50-1=49[/tex]

Since the Confidence is 0.90 or 90%, the value of [tex]\alpha=0.1[/tex] and [tex]\alpha/2 =0.05[/tex], and we can use excel, a calculator or a table to find the critical value. The excel command would be: "=-T.INV(0.05,49)".And we see that [tex]t_{\alpha/2}=1.68[/tex]

Now we have everything in order to replace into formula (1):

[tex]100-1.68\frac{25}{\sqrt{50}}=94.060[/tex]    

[tex]100+1.68\frac{25}{\sqrt{50}}=105.940[/tex]    

So on this case the 90% confidence interval would be given by (94.060;105.940)    

Part b

Since the Confidence is 0.95 or 95%, the value of [tex]\alpha=0.05[/tex] and [tex]\alpha/2 =0.025[/tex], and we can use excel, a calculator or a table to find the critical value. The excel command would be: "=-T.INV(0.025,49)".And we see that [tex]t_{\alpha/2}=2.01[/tex]

Now we have everything in order to replace into formula (1):

[tex]100-2.01\frac{25}{\sqrt{50}}=92.894[/tex]    

[tex]100+2.01\frac{25}{\sqrt{50}}=107.106[/tex]    

So on this case the 95% confidence interval would be given by (92.894;107.106)    

Part b

Since the Confidence is 0.95 or 95%, the value of [tex]\alpha=0.05[/tex] and [tex]\alpha/2 =0.025[/tex], and we can use excel, a calculator or a table to find the critical value. The excel command would be: "=-T.INV(0.025,49)".And we see that [tex]t_{\alpha/2}=2.01[/tex]

Now we have everything in order to replace into formula (1):

[tex]100-2.01\frac{25}{\sqrt{50}}=92.894[/tex]    

[tex]100+2.01\frac{25}{\sqrt{50}}=107.106[/tex]    

So on this case the 95% confidence interval would be given by (92.894;107.106)    

Part c

Since the Confidence is 0.99 or 99%, the value of [tex]\alpha=0.01[/tex] and [tex]\alpha/2 =0.005[/tex], and we can use excel, a calculator or a table to find the critical value. The excel command would be: "=-T.INV(0.005,49)".And we see that [tex]t_{\alpha/2}=2.68[/tex]

Now we have everything in order to replace into formula (1):

[tex]100-2.68\frac{25}{\sqrt{50}}=90.525[/tex]    

[tex]100+2.68\frac{25}{\sqrt{50}}=109.475[/tex]    

So on this case the 99% confidence interval would be given by (90.525;109.475)    

Part d

When we increase the confidence level we see that the interval becomes wider and the margin of error given by [tex] ME=  t_{\alpha/2}\frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}[/tex] increase.