Respuesta :
Answer:
a) [tex]0.77 - 2.58\sqrt{\frac{0.77(1-0.77)}{40}}=0.5983[/tex]
[tex]0.77 + 2.58\sqrt{\frac{0.77(1-0.77)}{40}}=0.9417[/tex]
The 99% confidence interval would be given by (0.5983;0.9417) and in a percentage would be:
59.83% < p< 94.17%
b) [tex]0.08 - 1.64\sqrt{\frac{0.08(1-0.08)}{978}}=0.0658[/tex]
[tex]0.08 + 1.64\sqrt{\frac{0.08(1-0.08)}{978}}=0.0942[/tex]
The 90% confidence interval would be given by (0.0658;0.0942) and in a percentage would be:
6.58% < p< 9.42%
Step-by-step explanation:
Previous concepts
A confidence interval is "a range of values that’s likely to include a population value with a certain degree of confidence. It is often expressed a % whereby a population means lies between an upper and lower interval". The margin of error is the range of values below and above the sample statistic in a confidence interval.
Normal distribution, is a "probability distribution that is symmetric about the mean, showing that data near the mean are more frequent in occurrence than data far from the mean".
Part a
In order to find the critical value we need to take in count that we are finding the interval for a proportion, so on this case we need to use the z distribution. Since our interval is at 99% of confidence, our significance level would be given by [tex]\alpha=1-0.99=0.01[/tex] and [tex]\alpha/2 =0.005[/tex]. And the critical value would be given by:
[tex]z_{\alpha/2}=-2.58, z_{1-\alpha/2}=2.58[/tex]
The confidence interval for the mean is given by the following formula:
[tex]\hat p \pm z_{\alpha/2}\sqrt{\frac{\hat p (1-\hat p)}{n}}[/tex]
If we replace the values obtained we got:
[tex]0.77 - 2.58\sqrt{\frac{0.77(1-0.77)}{40}}=0.5983[/tex]
[tex]0.77 + 2.58\sqrt{\frac{0.77(1-0.77)}{40}}=0.9417[/tex]
The 99% confidence interval would be given by (0.5983;0.9417) and in a percentage would be:
59.83% < p< 94.17%
Part b
In order to find the critical value we need to take in count that we are finding the interval for a proportion, so on this case we need to use the z distribution. Since our interval is at 90% of confidence, our significance level would be given by [tex]\alpha=1-0.90=0.1[/tex] and [tex]\alpha/2 =0.05[/tex]. And the critical value would be given by:
[tex]z_{\alpha/2}=-1.64, z_{1-\alpha/2}=1.64[/tex]
The confidence interval for the mean is given by the following formula:
[tex]\hat p \pm z_{\alpha/2}\sqrt{\frac{\hat p (1-\hat p)}{n}}[/tex]
If we replace the values obtained we got:
[tex]0.08 - 1.64\sqrt{\frac{0.08(1-0.08)}{978}}=0.0658[/tex]
[tex]0.08 + 1.64\sqrt{\frac{0.08(1-0.08)}{978}}=0.0942[/tex]
The 90% confidence interval would be given by (0.0658;0.0942) and ina percentage would be:
6.58% < p< 9.42%