A marketing research assistant for a veterinary hospital surveyed a random sample of 457 pet owners. Respondents were asked to indicate the number of times that they visit their veterinarian each year. e sample mean response was 3.59 and the sample standard deviation was 1.045. Based on these results, a condence interval from 3.49 to 3.69 was calculated for the population mean. Find the probability content for this interval

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Answer:

The probability content for the confidence interval (3.49, 3.69) is 96%.

Step-by-step explanation:

The sample selected to determine the mean number of times the pet owners visited their veterinarian each year is of size, n = 475.

The sample selected is quite large, i.e. n > 30.

According to the Central Limit Theorem if we have a population with mean μ and standard deviation σ and we take appropriately huge random samples (n ≥ 30) from the population with replacement, then the distribution of the sample mean will be approximately normally distributed.

Then, the mean of the distribution of sample mean is given by,

[tex]\mu_{\bar x}=\mu\approx\bar x[/tex] ; for n → ∞.

And the standard deviation of the distribution of sample means is given by,

[tex]\sigma_{\bar x}=\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}\approx \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}[/tex] ; for n → ∞.

So, the random variable X, defined as the number of visits to the veterinarian each year, follows a Normal distribution.

The (1 - α)% confidence interval for the population mean (μ) is:

[tex]CI=\bar x\pm z_{\alpha/2}\times \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}[/tex]

The information provided is:

[tex]\bar x=3.59\\s=1.045\\[/tex]

The confidence interval is (3.49, 3.69).

The margin of error of the confidence interval for the population mean is:

[tex]MOE=\frac{UL-LL}{2}= z_{\alpha/2}\times \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}[/tex]

Compute the MOE as follows:

[tex]MOE=\frac{UL-LL}{2}=\frac{3.69-3.49}{2}=0.10[/tex]

Compute the critical value of z as follows:

[tex]MOE=z_{\alpha/2}\times \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}\\0.10=z_{\alpha/2}\times \frac{1.045}{\sqrt{475}}\\z_{\alpha/2}=2.0856\\z_{\alpha/2}\approx2.09[/tex]

Compute the value of [tex]P(-z_{\alpha/2}<Z<z_{\alpha/2})[/tex] as follows:

[tex]P(-z_{\alpha/2}<Z<z_{\alpha/2})=P(-2.09<Z<2.09)[/tex]

                                  [tex]=P(Z<2.09)-P(Z<-2.09)\\=P(Z<2.09)-[1-P(Z<2.09)]\\=2P(Z<2.09)-1\\=(2\times 0.9817)-1\\=0.9634\\\approx0.96[/tex]

Thus, the probability content for the confidence interval (3.49, 3.69) is 96%.

Since the sample size is big enough ( > 30), the distribution can be approximated by normal distribution. You can convert the distribution to the standard normal distribution and then can use the z tables to find the p values.

The probability content for the given interval is 0.9586

How to form standard normal distribution?

Let the random variable X tracks the number of times the respondents visit their veterinarians each year. Then according to the given data, we have:

[tex]X \sim N(mean, std. dev) = N(3.59, 1.045)[/tex]

The distribution [tex]Y \sim N(a,b)[/tex] can be converted to standard normal distribution(the distribution with mean 0 and standard deviation as 1) [tex]Z \sim N(0,1)[/tex] by

[tex]Z = \dfrac{Y - \overline{Y}}{s/\sqrt{n}}[/tex]

where s denotes the standard deviation of Y's distribution and n denotes sample size (for population variates,  we don't divide standard deviation by square root of sample size)

Thus, the standard variate for given sample will be:

[tex]Z = \dfrac{X - 3.59}{1.045/\sqrt{457}} = \dfrac{X-3.59}{0.049}[/tex]

The needed probability can be converted to probability of standard variate and then can be calculated as

[tex]P(3.49 < X < 3.69) = P( \dfrac{3.49 - 3.59}{0.049} < Z < \dfrac{3.69-3.59}{0.049})\\\\= P(-2.04 < Z < 2.04) = P(Z = 2.04) - P(Z = -2.04)\\= 0.9793-0.0207 = 0.9586[/tex]

Thus,

The probability content for the given interval is 0.9586

Learn more about standard normal distribution here:

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