In a recent​ year, a hospital had 4224 births. Find the mean number of births per​ day, then use that result and the Poisson distribution to find the probability that in a​ day, there are 13 births. Does it appear likely that on any given​ day, there will be exactly 13 ​births?

Respuesta :

Answer:

10.10% probability that in a​ day, there are 13 births. It is not very likely that in a day there will be exactly 13 ​births, but also not unlikely(lower than 5%).

Step-by-step explanation:

In a Poisson distribution, the probability that X represents the number of successes of a random variable is given by the following formula:

[tex]P(X = x) = \frac{e^{-\mu}*\mu^{x}}{(x)!}[/tex]

In which

x is the number of sucesses

e = 2.71828 is the Euler number

[tex]\mu[/tex] is the mean in the given time interval.

In a recent​ year, a hospital had 4224 births.

An year has 365 days, so [tex]\mu = \frac{4224}{365} = 11.5726[/tex]

Probability that in a​ day, there are 13 births.

This is P(X = 13).

[tex]P(X = x) = \frac{e^{-\mu}*\mu^{x}}{(x)!}[/tex]

[tex]P(X = 13) = \frac{e^{-11.5726}*(11.5726)^{13}}{(13)!} = 0.1010[/tex]

10.10% probability that in a​ day, there are 13 births. It is not very likely that in a day there will be exactly 13 ​births, but also not unlikely(lower than 5%).