. Suppose that a random sample of n = 102 children is selected from the population of newborn infants in Mexico. The probability that a child in this population weighs at most 2500 grams is presumed to be π = 0.15. Calculate the probability that thirteen or fewer of the infants weigh at m

Respuesta :

Answer:

30.85% probability that thirteen or fewer of the infants weigh at most 2500 grams

Step-by-step explanation:

I am going to use the binomial approximation to the normal to solve this question.

Binomial probability distribution

Probability of exactly x sucesses on n repeated trials, with p probability.

Can be approximated to a normal distribution, using the expected value and the standard deviation.

The expected value of the binomial distribution is:

[tex]E(X) = np[/tex]

The standard deviation of the binomial distribution is:

[tex]\sqrt{V(X)} = \sqrt{np(1-p)}[/tex]

Normal probability distribution

Problems of normally distributed samples can be solved using the z-score formula.

In a set with mean [tex]\mu[/tex] and standard deviation [tex]\sigma[/tex], the zscore of a measure X is given by:

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

The Z-score measures how many standard deviations the measure is from the mean. After finding the Z-score, we look at the z-score table and find the p-value associated with this z-score. This p-value is the probability that the value of the measure is smaller than X, that is, the percentile of X. Subtracting 1 by the pvalue, we get the probability that the value of the measure is greater than X.

When we are approximating a binomial distribution to a normal one, we have that [tex]\mu = E(X)[/tex], [tex]\sigma = \sqrt{V(X)}[/tex].

In this problem, we have that:

[tex]n = 102, p = 0.15[/tex]

So

[tex]\mu = E(X) = 102*0.15 = 15.3[/tex]

[tex]\sigma = \sqrt{V(X)} = \sqrt{np(1-p)} = \sqrt{102*0.15*0.85} = 3.61[/tex]

Calculate the probability that thirteen or fewer of the infants weigh at most 2500 grams

This is [tex]P(X \leq 13)[/tex], which using continuity correction is [tex]P(X \leq 13 + 0.5) = P(X \leq 13.5)[/tex], which is the pvalue of Z when X = 13.5.

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

[tex]Z = \frac{13.5 - 15.3}{3.61}[/tex]

[tex]Z = -0.5[/tex]

[tex]Z = -0.5[/tex] has a pvalue of 0.3085

30.85% probability that thirteen or fewer of the infants weigh at most 2500 grams