Suppose that the travel time from your home to your office is normallydistributed with mean 40 minutes and standard deviation 7 minutes. If you want tobe 95 percent certain that you will not be late for an office appointment at 1 P.M.,what is the latest time that you should leave home?

Respuesta :

Answer:

The latest time that you should leave home is 12:08 PM

Step-by-step explanation:

Problems of normally distributed samples are solved using the z-score formula.

In a set with mean [tex]\mu[/tex] and standard deviation [tex]\sigma[/tex], the zscore of a measure X is given by:

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

The Z-score measures how many standard deviations the measure is from the mean. After finding the Z-score, we look at the z-score table and find the p-value associated with this z-score. This p-value is the probability that the value of the measure is smaller than X, that is, the percentile of X. Subtracting 1 by the pvalue, we get the probability that the value of the measure is greater than X.

In this problem, we have that:

[tex]\mu = 40, \sigma = 7[/tex]

If you want tobe 95 percent certain that you will not be late for an office appointment at 1 P.M.,what is the latest time that you should leave home?

How many minutes is the 95th percentile of travel time?

it is X when Z has a pvalue of 0.95. So it is X when Z = 1.645. So

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

[tex]1.645 = \frac{X - 40}{7}[/tex]

[tex]X - 40 = 7*1.645[/tex]

[tex]X = 51.6[/tex]

Rouding up, the 95th percentile for travel time is 52 minutes.

52 minutes before 1PM is 12:08 PM.

The latest time that you should leave home is 12:08 PM