Suppose you are taking a 15 question True/False quiz which you are not prepared for. You find yourself simply guessing at every answer. What is the probability that you get less than 3 answers correct?

Respuesta :

Answer:

[tex]P(X=0)=(15C0)(0.5)^0 (1-0.5)^{15-0}=0.0000305[/tex]

[tex]P(X=1)=(15C1)(0.5)^1 (1-0.5)^{15-1}=0.000457[/tex]

[tex]P(X=2)=(15C1)(0.5)^2 (1-0.5)^{15-2}=0.00320[/tex]

And adding the results we got:

[tex] P(X<3) =P(X \leq 2) = 0.0036875[/tex]

Step-by-step explanation:

We can define the variable of interest s X representing the number of correct questions for the exam. and we can model this random variable with a binomial distribution. The probability of select the correct answer would be [tex]p =\frac{1}{2}[/tex] since is a true/false question.

[tex] X \sim Binom (n =15, p=0.5[/tex]

And we want to find this probability:

[tex]P(X <3)= P(X\leq 2)=P(X=0) +P(X=1) +P(X=2)[/tex]

The probability mass function for the Binomial distribution is given as:

[tex]P(X)=(nCx)(p)^x (1-p)^{n-x}[/tex]

Where (nCx) means combinatory and it's given by this formula:

[tex]nCx=\frac{n!}{(n-x)! x!}[/tex]

And we want to find this probability:

[tex]P(X \leq 2)=P(X=0)+P(X=1)+P(X=2)[/tex]

We can find the individual probabilities and we got:

[tex]P(X=0)=(15C0)(0.5)^0 (1-0.5)^{15-0}=0.0000305[/tex]

[tex]P(X=1)=(15C1)(0.5)^1 (1-0.5)^{15-1}=0.000457[/tex]

[tex]P(X=2)=(15C1)(0.5)^2 (1-0.5)^{15-2}=0.00320[/tex]

And adding the results we got:

[tex] P(X<3) =P(X \leq 2) = 0.0036875[/tex]

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