The American Heart Association is about to conduct an anti-smoking campaign and wants to know the fraction of Americans over 42 who smoke. Suppose a sample of 897 Americans over 42 is drawn. Of these people, 637 don't smoke.
Using the data, construct the 95% confidence interval for the population proportion of Americans over 42 who smoke. Round your answers to three decimal places.

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Answer:

The 95% confidence interval for the population proportion of Americans over 42 who smoke is (0.265, 0.325).

Step-by-step explanation:

In a sample with a number n of people surveyed with a probability of a success of [tex]\pi[/tex], and a confidence level of [tex]1-\alpha[/tex], we have the following confidence interval of proportions.

[tex]\pi \pm z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}[/tex]

In which

z is the zscore that has a pvalue of [tex]1 - \frac{\alpha}{2}[/tex].

For this problem, we have that:

897 people, of which 897 - 632 = 265 smoke.

Then [tex]n = 897, \pi = \frac{265}{897} = 0.295[/tex]

95% confidence level

So [tex]\alpha = 0.05[/tex], z is the value of Z that has a pvalue of [tex]1 - \frac{0.05}{2} = 0.975[/tex], so [tex]Z = 1.96[/tex].

The lower limit of this interval is:

[tex]\pi - z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}} = 0.295 - 1.96\sqrt{\frac{0.295*0.705}{897}} = 0.265[/tex]

The upper limit of this interval is:

[tex]\pi + z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}} = 0.295 - 1.96\sqrt{\frac{0.295*0.705}{897}} = 0.325[/tex]

The 95% confidence interval for the population proportion of Americans over 42 who smoke is (0.265, 0.325).