The shape of the distribution of the time required to get an oil change at a 15-minute oil-change facility is unknown. However, records indicate that the mean time is 16.2 minutes, and the standard deviation is 3.4 minutes.


(a) What is the probability that a random sample of n = 45 oil changes results in a sample mean time less than 10 ​minutes?

(b) Suppose the manager agrees to pay each employee a​ $50 bonus if they meet a certain goal. On a typical​ Saturday, the​ oil-change facility will perform 45 oil changes between 10 A.M. and 12 P.M. Treating this as a random sample, what mean oil-change time would there be a 10% chance of being at or below? This will be the goal established by the manager.

Respuesta :

Answer:

(a) Probability that a random sample of n = 45 oil changes results in a sample mean time less than 10 ​minutes is 0.0001.

(b) The mean oil-change time that would there be a 10% chance of being at or below is 15.55 minutes.

Step-by-step explanation:

We are given that records indicate that the mean time is 16.2 minutes, and the standard deviation is 3.4 minutes.

Assuming that data follows normal distribution.

Let [tex]\bar X[/tex] = sample mean time

The z score probability distribution for sample mean is given by;

                          Z  =  [tex]\frac{\bar X-\mu}{\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n} } }[/tex]  ~ N(0,1)

where, [tex]\mu[/tex] = population mean time = 16.2 minutes

            [tex]\sigma[/tex] = standard deviation = 3.4 minutes

            n = sample size = 45

(a) The probability that a random sample of n = 45 oil changes results in a sample mean time less than 10 ​minutes is given by = P([tex]\bar X[/tex] < 10 min)

    P([tex]\bar X[/tex] < 10 min) = P( [tex]\frac{\bar X-\mu}{\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n} } }[/tex] < [tex]\frac{10-16.2}{\frac{3.4}{\sqrt{45} } }[/tex] ) = P(Z < -12.23) = 1 - P(Z [tex]\leq[/tex] 12.23)

                                                          = 1 - 0.9999 = 0.0001

As the highest critical value of x given in z table is 4.40 which has an area of 0.9999.

(b) We are also given that on a typical​ Saturday, the​ oil-change facility will perform 45 oil changes between 10 A.M. and 12 P.M.

Now, the mean oil-change time that would there be a 10% chance of being at or below is given by;

          P(X [tex]\leq[/tex] x) = 0.10          {where x is required mean oil-change time}

          P( [tex]\frac{\bar X-\mu}{\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n} } }[/tex] [tex]\leq[/tex] [tex]\frac{x-16.2}{\frac{3.4}{\sqrt{45} } }[/tex] ) = 0.10

          P(Z [tex]\leq[/tex] [tex]\frac{x-16.2}{\frac{3.4}{\sqrt{45} } }[/tex] ) = 0.10

Now, in the z table the critical value of X which represents the below 10% of the probability area is given as -1.282, that means;

                  [tex]\frac{x-16.2}{\frac{3.4}{\sqrt{45} } }[/tex]  =  -1.282

               x - 16.2  =  [tex]-1.282 \times {\frac{3.4}{\sqrt{45} } }[/tex]

                         x  =  16.2 - 0.65 = 15.55 minutes

Hence, the mean oil-change time that would there be a 10% chance of being at or below is 15.55 minutes.

Answer:

(A) Probability that a random sample of 45 oil changes result in a sample mean time less than 10 minutes is 0.0001

(B)The mean oil change time that would there be a 10% chance of being at or below is 15.55 [tex]min.[/tex].

Step-by-step explanation:

Given information:

The mean time is [tex]=16.2 min.[/tex]

The standard deviation[tex]=3.4 min.[/tex]

Let [tex]X'[/tex] is sample mean time :

Now the sample mean time is given by the equation

[tex]Z=\frac{X'-\mu}{\sigma/\sqrt{n} }[/tex]

Where, [tex]\mu =[/tex] population mean time

[tex]\sigma[/tex] [tex]=[/tex] Standard deviation

(A) Probability of random sample of 45 oil changes:

[tex]p(X'<10) =1-p(Z\leq 12.23)\\[/tex]

[tex]Z=\frac{10-16.2}{3.4/\sqrt{45} }\\[/tex]

[tex]p(X'<10) =1-0.9999\\p(X'<10) =0.0001[/tex]

As, the highest critical value of Z is given as 4.40 which has an area of 0.9999.

(B) It is also given that on Saturday the oil change facility will perform 45 oil change:

Now,

[tex]\\P(X'\leq x)=0.10\\[/tex]

[tex]\\P(Z\leq \frac{x-16.2}{3.4/\sqrt45} )=0.10[/tex]

Below 10% probability the value of X from the Z-table is given as -1.282

So,

[tex]\frac{x-16.2}{3.4/\sqrt45}=-1.282[/tex]

On solving above equation:

[tex]x=15.55 min.[/tex]

Hence, The mean oil change time that would there be a 10% chance of being at or below is 15.55 [tex]min.[/tex]

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