A recent study reported that 28% of shoppers only review one page when searching online for product information. A random sample of 100 shoppers was randomly selected. What is the probability that between 20 and 30 of these shoppers only review one page when searching online?

Respuesta :

Answer:

68.29% probability that between 20 and 30 of these shoppers only review one page when searching online

Step-by-step explanation:

I am going to use the normal approximation to the binomial to solve this question.

Binomial probability distribution

Probability of exactly x sucesses on n repeated trials, with p probability.

Can be approximated to a normal distribution, using the expected value and the standard deviation.

The expected value of the binomial distribution is:

[tex]E(X) = np[/tex]

The standard deviation of the binomial distribution is:

[tex]\sqrt{V(X)} = \sqrt{np(1-p)}[/tex]

Normal probability distribution

Problems of normally distributed samples can be solved using the z-score formula.

In a set with mean [tex]\mu[/tex] and standard deviation [tex]\sigma[/tex], the zscore of a measure X is given by:

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

The Z-score measures how many standard deviations the measure is from the mean. After finding the Z-score, we look at the z-score table and find the p-value associated with this z-score. This p-value is the probability that the value of the measure is smaller than X, that is, the percentile of X. Subtracting 1 by the pvalue, we get the probability that the value of the measure is greater than X.

When we are approximating a binomial distribution to a normal one, we have that [tex]\mu = E(X)[/tex], [tex]\sigma = \sqrt{V(X)}[/tex].

In this problem, we have that:

[tex]n = 100, p = 0.28[/tex]

So

[tex]\mu = E(X) = np = 100*0.28 = 28[/tex]

[tex]\sigma = \sqrt{V(X)} = \sqrt{np(1-p)} = \sqrt{100*0.28*0.72} = 4.49[/tex]

What is the probability that between 20 and 30 of these shoppers only review one page when searching online?

Using continuity correction, this is [tex]P(20 - 0.5 \leq X \leq 30 + 0.5) = P(19.5 \leq X \leq 30.5)[/tex], which is the pvalue of Z when X = 30.5 subtracted by the pvalue of Z when X = 19.5.

X = 30.5

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

[tex]Z = \frac{30.5 - 28}{4.49}[/tex]

[tex]Z = 0.56[/tex]

[tex]Z = 0.56[/tex] has a pvalue of 0.7123.

X = 19.5

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

[tex]Z = \frac{19.5 - 28}{4.49}[/tex]

[tex]Z = -1.89[/tex]

[tex]Z = -1.89[/tex] has a pvalue of 0.0294

0.7123 - 0.0294 = 0.6829

68.29% probability that between 20 and 30 of these shoppers only review one page when searching online