Suppose 30% of the U.S. population has green eyes. If a random sample of size 1200 U.S. citizens is drawn, then the probability that less than 348 U.S. citizens have green eyes is _______.

Respuesta :

Answer:

P(X is less than 348) = 0.2148

Step-by-step explanation:

Given that:

Sample proportion (p) = 0.3

Sample size = 1200

Let X be the random variable that obeys a binomial distribution. Then;

[tex]X \sim Bin(n = 1200,p =0.3)[/tex]

The Binomial can be approximated to normal with:

[tex]\mu = np = 1200 \times 0.3 \\ \\ \mu= 360[/tex]

[tex]\sigma = \sqrt{np(1-p) } \\ \\ \sigma = \sqrt{1200 \times (0.3)(1-0.3) } \\ \\ \sigma = 15.875[/tex]

To find:

P(X< 348)

So far we are approximating a discrete Binomial distribution using the continuous normal distribution. 348 lies between 347.5 and 348.5

Normal distribution:

x = 347.5, [tex]\mu[/tex] = 360, [tex]\sigma[/tex] = 15.875

Using the z test statistics;

[tex]z = \dfrac{x - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

[tex]z = \dfrac{347.5 - 360}{15.875}[/tex]

[tex]z = \dfrac{-12.50}{15.875}[/tex]

z = -0.7874

z ≅ - 0.79

The p-value for P(X<347.5) = P(Z < -0.79)

From the z tables;

P(X<347.5) = 0.2148

Thus;

P(X is less than 348) = 0.2148