Researchers investigating a new drug selected a random sample of 200 people who are taking the drug. Of those selected, 76 indicated they were experiencing side effects from the drug. If 5,000 people took the drug, which of the following is closest to the interval estimate of the number of people who would indicate they were experiencing side effects from the drug at a 95 percent level of confidence?
a. (0.313,0.447)
b. (0.324, 0.436)
c. (65,87)
d. (1565, 2235)
e. (1620, 2180)

Respuesta :

Answer:

a. (0.313,0.447)

Step-by-step explanation:

In a sample with a number n of people surveyed with a probability of a success of [tex]\pi[/tex], and a confidence level of [tex]1-\alpha[/tex], we have the following confidence interval of proportions.

[tex]\pi \pm z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}[/tex]

In which

z is the zscore that has a pvalue of [tex]1 - \frac{\alpha}{2}[/tex].

Researchers investigating a new drug selected a random sample of 200 people who are taking the drug. Of those selected, 76 indicated they were experiencing side effects from the drug.

This means that [tex]n = 200, \pi = \frac{76}{200} = 0.38[/tex]

95% confidence level

So [tex]\alpha = 0.05[/tex], z is the value of Z that has a pvalue of [tex]1 - \frac{0.05}{2} = 0.975[/tex], so [tex]Z = 1.96[/tex].

The lower limit of this interval is:

[tex]\pi - z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}} = 0.38 - 1.96\sqrt{\frac{0.38*0.62}{200}} = 0.313[/tex]

The upper limit of this interval is:

[tex]\pi + z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}} = 0.38 + 1.96\sqrt{\frac{0.38*0.62}{200}} = 0.447[/tex]

The correct answer is given by option A.