Based on the various probabilities of outcomes, the expected value of the investment is $2,400
The expected value can be calculated as:
= ∑ (Probability of event happening x Payoff if event happens)
The expected value here is therefore:
= (50% x 8,000) + (40% x -4,000) + (10% x 0)
= $2,400
In conclusion, the expected value is $2,400.
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