You solicit 100 pledges for a charitable organization. Each pledge is equally likely to be $10, $50, or $100. You may use the fact that the standard deviation of the three amounts $10, $50 and $100 is $37. What are the chances that the 100 pledges total more than $5,700

Respuesta :

Using the normal distribution, it is found that there is a 0.1611 = 16.11% probability that the 100 pledges total more than $5,700.

Normal Probability Distribution

In a normal distribution with mean [tex]\mu[/tex] and standard deviation [tex]\sigma[/tex], the z-score of a measure X is given by:

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

  • It measures how many standard deviations the measure is from the mean.  
  • After finding the z-score, we look at the z-score table and find the p-value associated with this z-score, which is the percentile of X.
  • For n instances of a normal variable, the mean is [tex]M = n\mu[/tex] and the standard deviation is of [tex]s = \sigma\sqrt{n}[/tex]

In this problem:

  • Considering that each pledge is equally as likely, the mean is [tex]\mu = \frac{10 + 50 + 100}{3} = 53.33[/tex]
  • The standard deviation is [tex]\sigma = 37[/tex].
  • 100 pledges, hence [tex]n = 100, M = 100(53.33) = 5333, s = 37\sqrt{100} = 370[/tex].

The probability that the 100 pledges total more than $5,700 is 1 subtracted by the p-value of Z when X = 5700.

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

Considering the n instances:

[tex]Z = \frac{X - M}{s}[/tex]

[tex]Z = \frac{5700 - 5333}{370}[/tex]

[tex]Z = 0.99[/tex]

[tex]Z = 0.99[/tex] has a p-value of 0.8389.

1 - 0.8389 = 0.1611

0.1611 = 16.11% probability that the 100 pledges total more than $5,700.

To learn more about the normal distribution, you can take a look at https://brainly.com/question/24863330