In a carnival game, you roll 2 dice. If the sum is 5, you receive a $6 payoff. If the sum is 10, you receive a $9 payoff. Otherwise, you receive no payoff. What is the expected payoff? (Round your answer to two decimal places.)

Respuesta :

Expected value is the sum, for all possible outcomes, the value of each outcome times its probability.  In other words,
E[X]=sum  x*P(X=x)

For this given situation there are 4 outcomes (out of 36) that rolls a sum of 5 [1,4; 2,3; 3,2; 4,1], so p(5)=4/36=1/9 and its value is $6.  
There are 3 possible outcomes for a sum of 10 (again out of 36), so P(10)=3/36=1/12, with a value of $9.
All the other outcomes carry zero value, so the expected payoff is therefore
E[X]=sum x*P(x)
=$6*(1/9)+$9*(1/12)+$0(29/36)
=$(2/3+3/4)
=$17/12
=$1.42 (approx.)
So the expected payout is $1.42, not forgetting that it costs a certain amount to play the game.