The local weather person has been accurate in her predictions within 2 degrees temperature forecast 80% of the time. Find the probability that she is accurate...
a) exactly 3 out of the next 5 days
b) at least 4 of the next 5 days

Respuesta :

A) 0.2048
B) 0.7373

To find the probability that she is correct exactly 3 days, we have
[tex]_5C_3(0.8)^3(1-0.8)^{5-3} \\ \\\frac{5!}{3!2!}(0.8)^3(0.2)^2=0.2048[/tex]

To find the probability that she is right at least 4 of the 5 days, we find the probability she is right 4 days, the probability she is right 5 days, and add them together:
[tex]_5C_4(0.8)^4(1-0.8)^{5-4}+_5C_5(0.8)^5(1-0.8)^{5-5} \\ \\\frac{5!}{4!1!}(0.8)^4(0.2)^1+\frac{5!}{5!0!}(0.8)^5(0.2)^0 \\ \\5(0.8)^4(0.2)+0.8^5=0.4096+0.32768=0.73728\approx0.7373[/tex]