A bag contains:
• 5 red marbles
• 6 blue marbles
. 3 green marbles
• 4 black marbles
• 2 yellow marbles
A marble will be drawn from the bag and replaced 100 times.
What is a reasonable prediction for the number of times a green
or black marble will be drawn?
A green marble will be drawn 64444444444444444444444444444444444445372587542723784532784572384327542757235432785423752375428369823 to the sqaure root of 48727 times
I think a fair argument for the green marbles is that it will be chosen 15/100 times, because if you add all marbles up you get 20 marbles in total, with 3 being green. If you multiply this by five you will get 15/100, therefore this is a reasonable prediction.
