Respuesta :

It’s still a 50% percent chance. No matter what. Even if the coin flips before had been H H T H H H T H the probability that a tail is more likely to occur than a head on the next flip is false. This belief, that if something happened a lot then it is less likely to happen in the future (or the reverse) is called the gambler’s fallacy, or the Monte Carlo fallacy because it is a cognitive bias that especially affects people while gambling.

The flip will always be 50/50 (unless it’s rigged) because there are two sides of the coin and it’s complete chance. Experimental probability is far from perfect.

Anyways, that doesn’t matter because the number of tails and heads were even in your example. All you need to know is that there are two possibilities and so it is 50/50.
If you have a fair coin, past performance is no indication of what will happen next. It is a good thing to keep in mind when you are gambling.

The answer in this case is 1/2.

You could have HHHHHH and the next coin toss would still have a probablity of 1/2.